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Forecasting & Analysis
Reporting, polling, and analysis on Forecasting & Analysis.
Latest reporting
West Virginia -
West Virginia Republicans Prepare for Civil War
Read storyWest Virginia -
Election Forecast Shows Either Party Could Gain Seats in West Virginia Legislature
Read storyVirginia -
Final 2025 Virginia Forecasts Show Democrats Poised to Win Virginia Elections
Read storyVirginia -
New Poll Shows Democrats Favored to Flip Virginia House Seat in Hampton Roads
Read storyVirginia -
Lynchburg Voters Determine a (Somewhat) Competitive Race in the Virginia House of Delegates
Read storyVirginia -
Voters’ Utility Costs and Federal Government Shutdown Shape Election in Competitive Prince William County District
Read storyVirginia -
The Never-Ending October Surprises
Read storyVirginia -
Democrats Try to Win Back Hokies in Blacksburg’s House District 41
Read storyVirginia -
Is Batten Being Beaten by a TikTok Star? The Curious Rematch in Williamsburg
Read storyVirginia -
Dinwiddie Man Arrested for making Death Threat Against Delegate Kim Taylor
Read storyVirginia -
The Veteran vs. The Underdog: Bobby Orrock faces challenger in first competitive race since 1989
Read storyVirginia -
Democratic Attack Ad in Swing District Alleges Incumbent is a “Dangerous Predator”
Read storyVirginia -
Rematch in Virginia House District 82 will test Spanberger’s electoral liabilities
Read storyVirginia -
A changing Chesterfield County turns conservative territory into a battleground
Read storyVirginia -
The last Henrico Republican: David Owen fights for survival in “Spanbergerland”
Read storyVirginia -
Will Democrats make waves in Republican Tidewater territory?
Read storyVirginia -
Purcellville politics shake up the most competitive election in the Virginia House of Delegates
Read storyVirginia -
Our 2025 Forecast Methodology
Read storyVirginia -
The “S” Word: How Democrats could create a supermajority in the Virginia House of Delegates elections in 2025
Read storyVirginia -
Election forecasts show Democrats overwhelmingly favored in Virginia 2025 elections
Read storyVirginia -
Are Virginia Democrats hopeless in Hopewell this year?
Read storyVirginia -
Three takeaways from the 2025 Virginia Democratic statewide primaries
Read storyVirginia -
As early voting ends in Virginia, satellite locations give Northern Virginia a surge in turnout
Read storyVirginia -
Which Democratic candidate for Attorney General is the most electable?
Read storyVirginia -
Abigail Spanberger holds massive lead with young voters in Virginia Governor race
Read storyVirginia -
Early voting in Richmond and Northern Virginia surges
Read storyVirginia -
What the VA Early Vote Tells Us Right Now
Read storyVirginia -
Which Democratic candidate for Lieutenant Governor is the most electable?
Read storyWisconsin -
Final 2024 Forecast: Wisconsin Legislature
Read storyUtah -
Final 2024 Forecast: Utah Legislature
Read storySouth Carolina -